Making sense of changing coastal systems: overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation using fuzzy cognitive mapping

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dc.contributor.advisor Hickey, Kieran en
dc.contributor.author Gray, Stefan
dc.date.accessioned 2020-09-21T11:45:22Z
dc.date.available 2020-09-21T11:45:22Z
dc.date.issued 2019-07
dc.date.submitted 2019-07
dc.identifier.citation Gray, S. 2019. Making sense of changing coastal systems: overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation using fuzzy cognitive mapping. PhD Thesis, University College Cork. en
dc.identifier.endpage 255 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10468/10560
dc.description.abstract This thesis describes the role and value of Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) in undertaking coastal climate change adaptation at the local scale, comparing FCM against existing, scenario-based adaptation methods in overcoming known barriers to adaptation. It describes the attributes and limitations of FCM as a modelling tool, exploring what must be accounted for in considering the use of FCM in mixed stakeholder settings where individual and group knowledge must be integrated to form a view of the system under study, discussing in some detail the facilitation strengths and weaknesses inherent to the method. These issues are then described via reference to case-studies in Ireland and Scotland, drawing inferences regarding the ease with which an FCM-based approach to adaptation might be substituted for orthodox, scenario-based adaptation. This is found to not only be feasible, but preferable, provided there is sufficient facilitation capacity on hand to manage the added complexity that FCM carries over simple narrative scenario development. Adding to the value that FCM offers in adaptation contexts, the thesis also explores its value as both a diagnostic tool for establishing what additional capacity building or data may be required by adaptation decision makers, and also as a tool for gauging the extent to which resilience gains (or losses) might be measured. Although FCM cannot be claimed to provide a robust objective measure of resilience gains or losses, it can nevertheless usefully illustrate to decision makers the strengths and limitations of their own understanding of the systems which they must manage. This is perhaps where the future of FCM-based systems analysis in support of adaptation may ultimately lie. en
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf en
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher University College Cork en
dc.rights © 2019, Stefan Gray. en
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ en
dc.subject Climate change adaptation en
dc.subject Modelling en
dc.subject Scenario analysis en
dc.subject Fuzzy cognitive mapping en
dc.title Making sense of changing coastal systems: overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation using fuzzy cognitive mapping en
dc.type Doctoral thesis en
dc.type.qualificationlevel Doctoral en
dc.type.qualificationname PhD - Doctor of Philosophy en
dc.internal.availability Full text available en
dc.description.version Accepted Version en
dc.contributor.funder Environmental Protection Agency en
dc.description.status Not peer reviewed en
dc.internal.school Geography en
dc.internal.conferring Autumn 2020 en
dc.internal.ricu Centre for Marine Renewable Energy Ireland (MaREI) en
dc.availability.bitstream openaccess


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© 2019, Stefan Gray. Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as © 2019, Stefan Gray.
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