Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

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dc.contributor.author Radchuk, Viktoriia
dc.contributor.author Reed, Thomas E.
dc.contributor.author Teplitsky, Céline
dc.contributor.author van de Pol, Martijn
dc.contributor.author Charmantier, Anne
dc.contributor.author Hassall, Christopher
dc.contributor.author Adamík, Peter
dc.contributor.author Adriaensen, Frank
dc.contributor.author Ahola, Markus P.
dc.contributor.author Arcese, Peter
dc.contributor.author Miguel Avilés, Jesús
dc.contributor.author Balbontin, Javier
dc.contributor.author Berg, Karl S.
dc.contributor.author Borras, Antoni
dc.contributor.author Burthe, Sarah
dc.contributor.author Clobert, Jean
dc.contributor.author Dehnhard, Nina
dc.contributor.author de Lope, Florentino
dc.contributor.author Dhondt, André A.
dc.contributor.author Dingemanse, Niels J.
dc.contributor.author Doi, Hideyuki
dc.contributor.author Eeva, Tapio
dc.contributor.author Fickel, Joerns
dc.contributor.author Filella, Iolanda
dc.contributor.author Fossøy, Frode
dc.contributor.author Goodenough, Anne E.
dc.contributor.author Hall, Stephen J. G.
dc.contributor.author Hansson, Bengt
dc.contributor.author Harris, Michael
dc.contributor.author Hasselquist, Dennis
dc.contributor.author Hickler, Thomas
dc.contributor.author Joshi, Jasmin
dc.contributor.author Kharouba, Heather
dc.contributor.author Martínez, Juan Gabriel
dc.contributor.author Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste
dc.contributor.author Mills, James A.
dc.contributor.author Molina-Morales, Mercedes
dc.contributor.author Moksnes, Arne
dc.contributor.author Ozgul, Arpat
dc.contributor.author Parejo, Deseada
dc.contributor.author Pilard, Philippe
dc.contributor.author Poisbleau, Maud
dc.contributor.author Rousset, Francois
dc.contributor.author Rödel, Mark-Oliver
dc.contributor.author Scott, David
dc.contributor.author Senar, Juan Carlos
dc.contributor.author Stefanescu, Constanti
dc.contributor.author Stokke, Bård G.
dc.contributor.author Kusano, Tamotsu
dc.contributor.author Tarka, Maja
dc.contributor.author Tarwater, Corey E.
dc.contributor.author Thonicke, Kirsten
dc.contributor.author Thorley, Jack
dc.contributor.author Wilting, Andreas
dc.contributor.author Tryjanowski, Piotr
dc.contributor.author Merilä, Juha
dc.contributor.author Sheldon, Ben C.
dc.contributor.author Pape Møller, Anders
dc.contributor.author Matthysen, Erik
dc.contributor.author Janzen, Fredric
dc.contributor.author Dobson, F. Stephen
dc.contributor.author Visser, Marcel E.
dc.contributor.author Beissinger, Steven R.
dc.contributor.author Courtiol, Alexandre
dc.contributor.author Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie
dc.date.accessioned 2019-09-23T09:47:15Z
dc.date.available 2019-09-23T09:47:15Z
dc.date.issued 2019-07-23
dc.identifier.citation Radchuk, V. et al (2019) 'Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient', Nature Communications, 10(1), 3109. (14pp.) DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4 en
dc.identifier.volume 10 en
dc.identifier.issued 1 en
dc.identifier.startpage 1 en
dc.identifier.endpage 14 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10468/8590
dc.identifier.doi 10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4 en
dc.description.abstract Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications, to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species. en
dc.description.sponsorship Spanish Research Council (CGL-2016-79568-C3-3-P to J.C.S.); en
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf en
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher Nature Publishing Group en
dc.relation.uri https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10924-4
dc.rights © The Author(s) 2019. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. en
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ en
dc.subject Climate change en
dc.subject Temperat en
dc.subject Global change en
dc.subject Precipit en
dc.subject Plastic en
dc.subject Adapt en
dc.subject Reaction norm en
dc.subject Responses of animals en
dc.subject Biological responses en
dc.title Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient en
dc.type Article (peer-reviewed) en
dc.internal.authorcontactother Thomas Reed, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland. +353-21-490-3000 Email: treed@ucc.ie en
dc.internal.availability Full text available en
dc.description.version Published Version en
dc.contributor.funder European Research Council en
dc.contributor.funder Ministry of Economy and Competitivity en
dc.contributor.funder Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas en
dc.contributor.funder Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas en
dc.contributor.funder National Science Foundation en
dc.contributor.funder Academy of Finland en
dc.contributor.funder U.S. Department of Energy en
dc.description.status Peer reviewed en
dc.identifier.journaltitle Nature Communications en
dc.internal.IRISemailaddress treed@ucc.ie en
dc.identifier.articleid 3109 en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AKA//265859/FI/Pollution-related vitamin and calcium deficiency in birds/ en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/NSF/Directorate for Biological Sciences::Division of Environmental Biology/0089473/US/The Ecology and Evolution of Litter Size: An Experimental Approach/ en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/NSF/Directorate for Biological Sciences::Division of Environmental Biology/1242510/US/LTREB Renewal: Long-term Research on Environmental Gender Determination in a Model System (Chrysemys)/ en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020::ERC::ERC-STG/639192/EU/Alternative life histories: linking genes to phenotypes to demography/ALH en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7::SP2::ERC/339092/EU/Evolutionary responses to a warming world: physiological genomics of seasonal timing/E-RESPONSE en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7::SP2::ERC/337365/EU/Multi-level Selection in a Heterogeneous Environment/SHE en
dc.relation.project info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/SFRH::Doutoramento/SFRH/BD/5222/2001/PT/ESTUDO EXPERIMENTAL DA IONIZAÇÃO DE PARTÍCULAS PULVERIZADAS/SFRH/BD/5222/2001 en
dc.identifier.eissn 2041-1723


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© The Author(s) 2019. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as © The Author(s) 2019. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
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