The night owl effect in the Premier League
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Published Version
Date
19/03/2024
Authors
O'Leary, Daragh
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
The Boolean, University College Cork
Published Version
Abstract
A novel dataset of all the fixtures in the English Premier League’s 2021/2022 season is used to analyse the impact which kick-off time has on home advantage. Results show that late kickoffs significantly increase home advantage. During late kick-offs, home teams are significantly more likely to win fixtures and win fixtures by greater margins compared to early kick-offs. Furthermore, away teams are significantly less likely to keep clean sheets in middle-of-the-day and late kick-offs compared to early kick-offs. The night owl effect is proposed as a term to refer to this finding where late kick-offs facilitate increased home advantage.
Description
Keywords
Football , English Premier League , Fair competitive structure , Performance analysis , Home advantage
Citation
O'Leary, D. (2024) 'The night owl effect in the Premier League', The Boolean: Snapshots of Doctoral Research at University College Cork, 7, pp. 26-31. https://doi.org/10.33178/boolean.2024.1.5