The death of conservative Ireland? The 2018 abortion referendum

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dc.contributor.authorElkink, Johan A.
dc.contributor.authorFarrell, David M.
dc.contributor.authorMarien, Sofie
dc.contributor.authorReidy, Theresa
dc.contributor.authorSuiter, Jane
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-24T15:51:45Z
dc.date.available2020-04-24T15:51:45Z
dc.date.issued2020-04-05
dc.date.updated2020-04-24T15:46:07Z
dc.description.abstractThe outcomes of two recent Irish referendums - on marriage equality in 2015 and abortion in 2018 - have placed contemporary Irish voters in sharp contrast with their long-standing conservative Catholic reputation. These referendums also stand out internationally because of an associated deliberative innovation. This paper aims to explain the watershed abortion vote drawing on theories of generational change, issue-voting, cue-taking and deliberative democracy, using data from an exit poll at the 2018 abortion referendum. We show that cleavage and age effects are key to understanding the referendum outcome. These results offer insight into how societal processes such as rapid secularisation, generational replacement and democratic innovations shape politics. Moreover, voters who were aware of the deliberative innovation were more likely to support the liberal referendum option. To increase willingness to deviate from the status quo, engaging citizens actively in the debate is a fruitful approach.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid102142en
dc.identifier.citationElkink, J. A., Farrell, D. M., Marien, S., Reidy, T. and Suiter, J. (2020) 'The death of conservative Ireland? The 2018 abortion referendum', Electoral Studies, 65, 102142 (11 pp). doi: 10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102142en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102142en
dc.identifier.endpage11en
dc.identifier.journaltitleElectoral Studiesen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9853
dc.identifier.volume65en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevieren
dc.relation.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379420300275
dc.rights© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectReferendumsen
dc.subjectVoting behaviouren
dc.subjectAbortionen
dc.subjectGenerational effectsen
dc.subjectDeliberative democracyen
dc.subjectIrelanden
dc.titleThe death of conservative Ireland? The 2018 abortion referendumen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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