A globally deployable strategy for co-development of adaptation preferences to sea-level rise: the public participation case of Santos, Brazil

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dc.contributor.authorMarengo, Jose A.
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Luci H.
dc.contributor.authorSouza, Celia R. G.
dc.contributor.authorHarari, Joseph
dc.contributor.authorMuller-Karger, Frank
dc.contributor.authorGreco, Roberto
dc.contributor.authorHosokawa, Eduardo K.
dc.contributor.authorTabuchi, Ernesto K.
dc.contributor.authorMerrill, Samuel B.
dc.contributor.authorReynolds, Catherine J.
dc.contributor.authorPelling, Mark
dc.contributor.authorAlves, Lincoln M.
dc.contributor.authorAragão, Luiz E.
dc.contributor.authorChou, Sin C.
dc.contributor.authorMoreira, Fabiano
dc.contributor.authorPaterson, Shona K.
dc.contributor.authorLockman, Jonathan T.
dc.contributor.authorGray, Alexander G.
dc.contributor.funderEconomic and Social Research Council
dc.contributor.funderNational Science Foundation
dc.contributor.funderConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
dc.contributor.funderNatural Environment Research Council
dc.contributor.funderFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo
dc.date.accessioned2018-07-30T12:30:35Z
dc.date.available2018-07-30T12:30:35Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.description.abstractSea-level rise (SLR) poses a range of threats to natural and built environments in coastal zones around the world. Assessment of the risks due to exposure and sensitivity of coastal communities to coastal flooding is essential for informed decision-making. Strategies for public understanding and awareness of the tangible effects of climate change are fundamental in developing policy options. A multidisciplinary, multinational team of natural and social scientists from the USA, the UK, and Brazil developed the METROPOLE Project to evaluate how local governments may decide between adaptation options associated with SLR projections. METROPOLE developed a participatory approach in which public actors engage fully in defining the research problem and evaluating outcomes. Using a case study of the city of Santos, in Brazil, METROPOLE developed a method for evaluating risks jointly with the community, comparing 'no-action' to 'adaptation' scenarios. At the core of the analysis are estimates of economic costs of the impact of floods on urban real estate under SLR projections through 2050 and 2100. Results helped identify broad preferences and orientations in adaptation planning, which the community, including the Santos municipal government, co-developed in a joint effort with natural and social scientists.en
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (Research foundation Grant (2012/51876-0); Natural Environment Research Council and Economic and Social Research Council (Grant No. NE/L008963/1); National Science Foundation (NSF ICER-1342969)en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationMarengo, J. A., Nunes, L. H., Souza, C. R. G., Harari, J., Muller-Karger, F., Greco, R., Hosokawa, E. K., Tabuchi, E. K., Merrill, S. B., Reynolds, C. J., Pelling, M., Alves, L. M., Aragão, L. E., Chou, S. C., Moreira, F., Paterson, S., Lockman, J. T. and Gray, A. G. (2017) 'A globally deployable strategy for co-development of adaptation preferences to sea-level rise: the public participation case of Santos, Brazil', Natural Hazards, 88(1), pp. 39-53. doi: 10.1007/s11069-017-2855-xen
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11069-017-2855-x
dc.identifier.endpage53
dc.identifier.issn0921-030X
dc.identifier.issued1
dc.identifier.journaltitleNatural Hazardsen
dc.identifier.startpage39
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/6542
dc.identifier.volume88
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherSpringer International Publishing AGen
dc.relation.urihttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-017-2855-x
dc.rights© 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Natural Hazards. The final authenticated version is available online at: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2855-xen
dc.subjectSea-level riseen
dc.subjectAdaptation preferencesen
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.subjectParticipatory approachen
dc.subjectSantosen
dc.subjectBrazilen
dc.subjectMETROPOLE Project/Belmont Forumen
dc.titleA globally deployable strategy for co-development of adaptation preferences to sea-level rise: the public participation case of Santos, Brazilen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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