The market timing ability of UK mutual funds

dc.contributor.authorCuthbertson, Keith
dc.contributor.authorNitzsche, Dirk
dc.contributor.authorO'Sullivan, Niall
dc.date.accessioned2013-11-29T11:54:02Z
dc.date.available2013-11-29T11:54:02Z
dc.date.issued2010-01
dc.date.updated2013-05-28T15:09:43Z
dc.description.abstractWe apply a recent nonparametric methodology to test the market timing skills of UK equity and balanced mutual funds. The methodology has a number of advantages over the widely used regression based tests of Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981). We find a relatively small number of funds (around 1%) demonstrate positive market timing ability at a 5% significance level while around 19% of funds exhibit negative timing and on average funds miss-time the market. However, controlling for publicly available information we find very little evidence of market timing ability based on private timing signals. In terms of investment styles, there are a small number of successful positive market timers amongst Equity Income and ‘All Company’ funds but not among either Small Stock funds or Balanced funds, although a few small stock funds are found to time a small stock index rather than a broad market index.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionSubmitted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationCUTHBERTSON, K., NITZSCHE, D. & O'SULLIVAN, N. 2010. The Market Timing Ability of UK Mutual Funds. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 37, 270-289. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.2009.02157.xen
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1468-5957.2009.02157.x
dc.identifier.endpage289en
dc.identifier.issn1468-5957
dc.identifier.issued1-2en
dc.identifier.journaltitleJournal of Business Finance and Accountingen
dc.identifier.startpage270en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/1270
dc.identifier.volume37en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherBlackwell Publishing Ltd.en
dc.relation.urihttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2009.02157.x/abstract
dc.rights© 2009 The Authors Journal compilation © 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. This is the pre-peer reviewed version of the following article:CUTHBERTSON, K., NITZSCHE, D. & O'SULLIVAN, N. 2010. The Market Timing Ability of UK Mutual Funds. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 37, 270-289, which has been published in final form at http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2009.02157.xen
dc.subjectMutual funds performanceen
dc.subjectMarket timingen
dc.titleThe market timing ability of UK mutual fundsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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