Case fatality ratios for serious emergency conditions in the Republic of Ireland: a longitudinal investigation of trends over the period 2002-2014 using joinpoint analysis

dc.contributor.authorLynch, Brenda
dc.contributor.authorFitzgerald, Anthony P.
dc.contributor.authorCorcoran, Paul
dc.contributor.authorHealy, Orla
dc.contributor.authorBuckley, Claire M.
dc.contributor.authorFoley, Conor
dc.contributor.authorBrowne, John P.
dc.contributor.funderHealth Research Boarden
dc.contributor.funderUniversity College Corken
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-12T15:17:51Z
dc.date.available2018-10-12T15:17:51Z
dc.date.issued2018-06-19
dc.date.updated2018-10-12T12:04:27Z
dc.description.abstractBackground: In the past decade, the Republic of Ireland has undertaken significant reconfiguration programmes to improve emergency services. During this time the public healthcare system experienced a large real decrease in resources. This study assesses national and regional population outcomes over the period 2002–2014, and whether changes coincide with system reconfiguration and the financial restrictions imposed by the 2008 recession. Methods: Case fatality ratios (CFRs) were constructed for emergency conditions for 2002–2014. Total emergency conditions and individual condition trends were analysed nationally using joinpoint analysis. National results informed the investigation of trends at a regional and county level using an inverse standard error weighted generalised linear model with a log link to construct funnel plots. County-level CFRs were compared for the first and last 3 years of the period to further investigate the changes to county results over the 13 year period, specifically in comparison to the national-level CFR. Results: Nationally, there was an annual fall in CFRs (2.1%). The decline was faster from 2002 to 2007 (annual percentage change = − 3.4; 95% CI-4.4, − 2.4), compared to 2007–2014 (annual percentage change = − 1.2; 95% CI -1.9, − 0.5). The South-East had a lower rate of decrease and the West had a higher rate. Cross sectional analysis of two periods (2002–2004 and 2012–2014) showed high consistency in the counties performance relative to the national CFR in both periods. Conclusion: Change in the national trend coincided with the onset of economic stress on the public health system. Attributing the decline in CFR improvement to economic factors is weakened by the uneven nature of the trend change. No distinct pattern of change was identified among regions which underwent substantial reconfiguration of emergency services.en
dc.description.sponsorshipHealth Research Board, and University College Cork (HRB “Funding University College Cork Collaborative Applied Research Grant 2012” (CARG/ 2012/28))en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationLynch, B., Fitzgerald, A. P., Corcoran, P., Healy, O., Buckley, C., Foley, C. and Browne, J. (2018) 'Case fatality ratios for serious emergency conditions in the Republic of Ireland: a longitudinal investigation of trends over the period 2002–2014 using joinpoint analysis', BMC Health Services Research, 18(1), 474 (12 pp). doi:10.1186/s12913-018-3260-1en
dc.identifier.doi10.1186/s12913-018-3260-1
dc.identifier.endpage474-12en
dc.identifier.issn1472-6963
dc.identifier.journaltitleBMC Health Services Researchen
dc.identifier.startpage474-1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/7009
dc.identifier.volume18en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherBioMed Centralen
dc.relation.urihttps://bmchealthservres.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12913-018-3260-1
dc.rights© The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectReconfigurationen
dc.subjectEmergency careen
dc.subjectHealth systemsen
dc.subjectRegional variationsen
dc.subjectAcute myocardial-infarctionen
dc.subjectMortalityen
dc.subjectDeprivationen
dc.subjectEnglanden
dc.subjectStrokeen
dc.subjectWalesen
dc.subjectGuidelinesen
dc.subjectDistanceen
dc.titleCase fatality ratios for serious emergency conditions in the Republic of Ireland: a longitudinal investigation of trends over the period 2002-2014 using joinpoint analysisen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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