Quantifying the distribution and potential biotic interactions between deer and flora using species distribution modelling

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorO’Mahony, J.en
dc.contributor.authorVanmechelen, A.en
dc.contributor.authorHolloway, Paulen
dc.date.accessioned2023-07-25T09:38:48Z
dc.date.available2023-07-25T10:23:29Zen
dc.date.available2023-07-25T09:38:48Z
dc.date.issued2023-07-03
dc.date.updated2023-07-25T09:23:32Zen
dc.description.abstractInvasive species are ranked as one of the leading drivers of global biodiversity loss. To mitigate their impact, we must understand the future risks caused by invasive species, particularly to flora of conservation concern. Here we used species distribution modelling (SDM) to project the current and future (RCP45 and RCP85 2050) distributions of four deer species and 13 plant species of conservation concern for the island of Ireland, quantifying changes in distributions and overlap. Large areas of suitable habitat for the deer species were predicted with high accuracy across all counties, with future climate scenarios identifying an expansion in sika deer distributions and a decrease in muntjac and fallow deer distributions. Red deer declined under the moderate climate change scenario but increased under the worst-case projection. Future projections predicted the (local) extinction of six (out of 13) endangered and vulnerable plant species. An expansion in distributions was observed for four plant species; however, these areas had large overlap with the future predictions of deer, placing further pressures on these plant species. These findings suggest that targeted conservation and management measures are required to alleviate the pressures on ‘at-risk’ plant species due to grazing from native and non-native deer.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Version
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationO’Mahony, J., Vanmechelen, A. and​ Holloway, P. (2023) 'Quantifying the distribution and potential biotic interactions between deer and flora using species distribution modelling', Annals of GIS. doi: 10.1080/19475683.2023.2226196
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/19475683.2023.2226196en
dc.identifier.eissn1947-5691
dc.identifier.endpage16
dc.identifier.issn1947-5683
dc.identifier.journaltitleAnnals of GIS
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/14773
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis
dc.rights© 2023, the Authors. Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group, on behalf of Nanjing Normal University. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectConservation
dc.subjectForestry
dc.subjectInvasive species
dc.subjectSpecies distribution modelling
dc.titleQuantifying the distribution and potential biotic interactions between deer and flora using species distribution modellingen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Quantifyingthedistributionandpotentialbioticinteractionsbetweendeerandflorausingspeciesdistributionmodelling.pdf
Size:
1.34 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Published Version
Download
Collections
Geography - Journal Articles
Environmental Research Institute - Journal Articles