Employment resilience in Europe and the 2008 economic crisis: Insights from micro level data

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Employment resilience in Europe and the 2008 economic crisis: Insights from micro level data

Doran, Justin; Fingleton, Bernard
Date: 2015-10-30
Copyright: © 2015 Regional Studies Association. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Regional Studies on 30/10/2015, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/00343404.2015.1088642
Related: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00343404.2015.1088642
Citation: Doran, J. and Fingleton, B. (2016) 'Employment Resilience in Europe and the 2008 Economic Crisis: Insights from Micro-Level Data', Regional Studies, 50(4), pp. 644-656. doi: 10.1080/00343404.2015.1088642
Published Version: 10.1080/00343404.2015.1088642

Abstract:

This paper analyses employment resilience to the 2008 economic crisis using individual-level data from the European Social Survey (ESS) combined with NUTS-1 regional economic statistics. It models employment outcomes for individuals for 2002–08 and generates counterfactual outcomes for 2010 for individual-level employment assuming there is no recession. A resilience index, based on the difference between employment outcomes assuming actual economic conditions and a no recession counterfactual, is generated. Resilience varies substantially and is higher in German and French regions than in peripheral regions. Highly educated individuals, middle-aged individuals, unionized workers and men are more resilient.

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