Grounds for suspicion: physics-based early warnings for stealthy attacks on industrial control systems

dc.contributor.authorAzzam, Mazen
dc.contributor.authorPasquale, Liliana
dc.contributor.authorProvan, Gregory
dc.contributor.authorNuseibeh, Bashar
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-13T15:14:04Z
dc.date.available2022-01-13T15:14:04Z
dc.date.issued2021-09-21
dc.description.abstractStealthy attacks on Industrial Control Systems can cause significant damage. In this paper, instead of focusing on the detection of stealthy attacks, we aim to provide early warnings to operators, in order to avoid physical damage and preserve in advance data that may serve as an evidence during an investigation. We propose a framework to provide grounds for suspicion, i.e. preliminary indicators reflecting the likelihood of success of a stealthy attack. We propose two grounds for suspicion based on the behaviour of the physical process: feasibility of a stealthy attack, and proximity to unsafe operating regions. We propose a metric to measure grounds for suspicion in real-time and provide soundness principles to ensure that such a metric is consistent with the grounds for suspicion. We apply our framework to Linear-Time-Invariant systems and formulate the suspicion metric computation as a real-time reachability problem. We validate our framework on a case study involving the benchmark Tennessee-Eastman process. We show through numerical simulation that we can provide early warnings well before a potential stealthy attack can cause damage, while incurring minimal load on the network. Finally, we apply our framework on a use case to illustrate its usefulness in supporting early evidence collection.en
dc.description.sponsorshipScience Foundation Ireland (Grant Number 16/RC/3918)en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationAzzam, M., Pasquale, L., Provan, G. and Nuseibeh, B. (2021) 'Grounds for suspicion: physics-based early warnings for stealthy attacks on industrial control systems', IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing. doi: 10.1109/TDSC.2021.3113989en
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/TDSC.2021.3113989en
dc.identifier.eissn1941-0018
dc.identifier.endpage16en
dc.identifier.issn1545-5971
dc.identifier.journaltitleIEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computingen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/12380
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/SFI/SFI Research Centres/13/RC/2094/IE/Lero - the Irish Software Research Centre/en
dc.rights© 2021, IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.en
dc.subjectIntegrated circuitsen
dc.subjectMeasurementen
dc.subjectSecurityen
dc.subjectReal-time systemsen
dc.subjectProcess controlen
dc.subjectMonitoringen
dc.subjectLinear systemsen
dc.subjectCyber-physical systemsen
dc.subjectIndustrial control systemsen
dc.subjectEarly warning systemsen
dc.subjectSecurityen
dc.subjectProcess controlen
dc.subjectReachability analysisen
dc.titleGrounds for suspicion: physics-based early warnings for stealthy attacks on industrial control systemsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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