Contact-based model for epidemic spreading on temporal networks

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dc.contributor.authorKoher, Andreas
dc.contributor.authorLentz, Hartmut H.  K
dc.contributor.authorGleeson, James P.
dc.contributor.authorHövel, Philipp
dc.contributor.funderDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaften
dc.contributor.funderDeutscher Akademischer Austauschdiensten
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-05T09:35:44Z
dc.date.available2019-12-05T09:35:44Z
dc.date.issued2019-08-02
dc.description.abstractWe present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message-passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modeling of Markovian susceptible-infected-recovered outbreaks on time-varying trees, i.e., temporal networks with a loop-free underlying topology. On arbitrary graphs, the proposed contact-based model incorporates potential structural and temporal heterogeneities of the contact network and improves analytic estimations with respect to the individual-based (node-centric) approach at a low computational and conceptual cost. Within this new framework, we derive an analytical expression for the epidemic threshold on temporal networks and demonstrate the feasibility of this method on empirical data.en
dc.description.sponsorshipScience Foundation Ireland (Grants No. 16/IA/4470 and No. 16/RC/3918)en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid031017en
dc.identifier.citationKoher, A., Lentz, H. H. K., Gleeson, J. P. and Hövel, P. (2019) 'Contact-Based Model for Epidemic Spreading on Temporal Networks', Physical Review X, 9(3), 031017. (20pp.) doi: 10.1103/PhysRevX.9.031017en
dc.identifier.doi10.1103/PhysRevX.9.031017en
dc.identifier.eissn2160-3308
dc.identifier.endpage20en
dc.identifier.issued3en
dc.identifier.journaltitlePhysical Review Xen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9330
dc.identifier.volume9en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherAmerican Physical Societyen
dc.rights© The Author(s) 2019. Published by the American Physical Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the published article’s title, journal citation, and DOI.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectBifurcationsen
dc.subjectEpidemicen
dc.subjectEvolving Networksen
dc.subjectReal world networksen
dc.subjectSIR modelen
dc.subjectNetworksen
dc.subjectNonlinear dynamicsen
dc.subjectComplex systemsen
dc.subjectInterdisciplinary Physicsen
dc.titleContact-based model for epidemic spreading on temporal networksen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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