An assessment of near-to-mid-term economic impacts and energy transitions under “2 °C” and “1.5 °C” scenarios for India

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dc.contributor.authorMittal, Shivika
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Jing-Yu
dc.contributor.authorFujimori, Shinichiro
dc.contributor.authorShukla, Priyadarshi Ramprasad
dc.contributor.funderEnvironmental Restoration and Conservation Agencyen
dc.contributor.funderJapan Society for the Promotion of Scienceen
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-25T20:01:17Z
dc.date.available2019-11-25T20:01:17Z
dc.date.issued2018-08-24
dc.description.abstractThe goal of limiting global temperature rise to “well below” 2 °C has been reaffirmed in the Paris Agreement on climate change at the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21). Almost all countries submitted their decarbonization targets in their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and India did as well. India’s nationally determined contribution (NDC) aims to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensity of national GDP in 2030 by 33–35% compared to 2005. This paper analyzes how India’s NDC commitments compare with emission trajectories consistent with well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C global temperature stabilization goals. A top-down computable general equilibrium model is used for the analysis. Our analysis shows that there are significant emission gaps between NDC and global climate stabilization targets in 2030. The energy system requires significant changes, mostly relying on renewable energy and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. The mitigation costs would increase if India delays its abatement efforts and is locked into NDC pathways till 2030. India’s GHG emissions would peak 10 years earlier under 1.5 °C global temperature stabilization compared to the 2 °C goal. The results imply that India would need financial and technological support from developed countries to achieve emissions reductions aligned with the global long-term goal.en
dc.description.sponsorshipEnvironmental Restoration and Conservation Agency (Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency of Japan Grant number 2-1702); Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (KAKENHI Grant Number JP16K18177)en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid2213en
dc.identifier.citationMittal, S., Liu, J.Y., Fujimori, S. and Shukla, P. (2018) 'An Assessment of Near-to-Mid-Term Economic Impacts and Energy Transitions under “2° C” and “1.5° C” Scenarios for India'. Energies, 11(9), 2213. (17pp). doi:10.3390/en11092213en
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/en11092213en
dc.identifier.endpage17en
dc.identifier.issn1996-1073
dc.identifier.issued9en
dc.identifier.journaltitleEnergiesen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9217
dc.identifier.volume11en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherMDPIen
dc.relation.urihttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2213
dc.rights© 2018 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland, This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectNDCen
dc.subjectComputable general equilibrium modelen
dc.subject1.5 °C targeten
dc.subjectIndiaen
dc.titleAn assessment of near-to-mid-term economic impacts and energy transitions under “2 °C” and “1.5 °C” scenarios for Indiaen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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