Recession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trends

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dc.contributor.authorDennehy, Emer R.
dc.contributor.authorDineen, Denis
dc.contributor.authorRogan, Fionn
dc.contributor.authorÓ Gallachóir, Brian P.
dc.contributor.funderSustainable Energy Authority of Irelanden
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-14T12:35:42Z
dc.date.available2019-11-14T12:35:42Z
dc.date.issued2019-10-16
dc.date.updated2019-11-14T12:29:44Z
dc.description.abstractAnalysis of the technical potential for energy efficiency often highlights very large potential savings; however, the reality of savings achieved often falls far short of this potential. Ex-post analysis is known to be important for quantifying realised energy-efficiency savings, but is often neglected for many reasons. This paper describes an approach to an ex-post analysis that uses readily available administrative data and provides insights into the impact of an energy-efficiency policy measure of residential energy-efficiency retrofitting (upgrades). Ex-post analyses have the advantage of including the impacts of events and behaviours that coincide with energy-efficiency programs and thus facilitate disentangling external influences and avoidance of misattribution of savings. Three different quantitative approaches are used to determine whether the national energy-efficiency retrofit programmes or the economic recession was responsible for the sharp fall in residential space-heating energy demand in Ireland between 2007 and 2012. The analysis finds that while Government energy-efficiency retrofitting programmes have played a role in reducing energy consumption, the biggest influence by far between 2007 and 2012 was the economic recession. The top down decomposition analysis recorded energy savings (including â savingsâ that were due to the recession) that were 3.9 times greater than bottom-up retrofit savings related to residential space-heating measures over the period 2006 â 2012. The analysis highlights that an important policy challenge is to achieve reduced consumption due to behavioural changes while experiencing economic growth.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid109474en
dc.identifier.citationDennehy, E. R., Dineen, D., Rogan, F. and Ó Gallachóir, B. P. (2019) 'Recession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trends', Energy and Buildings, 205, 109474 (13pp). doi: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109474en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109474en
dc.identifier.eissn1872-6178
dc.identifier.endpage13en
dc.identifier.issn0378-7788
dc.identifier.journaltitleEnergy and Buildingsen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9004
dc.identifier.volume205en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/SFI/SFI Research Centres/12/RC/2302/IE/Marine Renewable Energy Ireland (MaREI) - The SFI Centre for Marine Renewable Energy Research/en
dc.relation.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378778819300404
dc.rights© 2019, Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectEnergy efficiencyen
dc.subjectExergyen
dc.subjectFuel switchingen
dc.subjectRetrofiten
dc.subjectNeeap savingsen
dc.subjectLMDI-Ien
dc.subjectTop-downen
dc.subjectBottom-upen
dc.titleRecession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trendsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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