Recession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trends

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dc.check.date2021-10-16
dc.check.infoAccess to this article is restricted until 24 months after publication by request of the publisher.en
dc.contributor.authorDennehy, Emer R.
dc.contributor.authorDineen, Denis
dc.contributor.authorRogan, Fionn
dc.contributor.authorÓ Gallachóir, Brian P.
dc.contributor.funderSustainable Energy Authority of Irelanden
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-14T12:35:42Z
dc.date.available2019-11-14T12:35:42Z
dc.date.issued2019-10-16
dc.date.updated2019-11-14T12:29:44Z
dc.description.abstractAnalysis of the technical potential for energy efficiency often highlights very large potential savings; however, the reality of savings achieved often falls far short of this potential. Ex-post analysis is known to be important for quantifying realised energy-efficiency savings, but is often neglected for many reasons. This paper describes an approach to an ex-post analysis that uses readily available administrative data and provides insights into the impact of an energy-efficiency policy measure of residential energy-efficiency retrofitting (upgrades). Ex-post analyses have the advantage of including the impacts of events and behaviours that coincide with energy-efficiency programs and thus facilitate disentangling external influences and avoidance of misattribution of savings. Three different quantitative approaches are used to determine whether the national energy-efficiency retrofit programmes or the economic recession was responsible for the sharp fall in residential space-heating energy demand in Ireland between 2007 and 2012. The analysis finds that while Government energy-efficiency retrofitting programmes have played a role in reducing energy consumption, the biggest influence by far between 2007 and 2012 was the economic recession. The top down decomposition analysis recorded energy savings (including â savingsâ that were due to the recession) that were 3.9 times greater than bottom-up retrofit savings related to residential space-heating measures over the period 2006 â 2012. The analysis highlights that an important policy challenge is to achieve reduced consumption due to behavioural changes while experiencing economic growth.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid109474en
dc.identifier.citationDennehy, E. R., Dineen, D., Rogan, F. and Ó Gallachóir, B. P. (2019) 'Recession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trends', Energy and Buildings, 205, 109474 (13pp). doi: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109474en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109474en
dc.identifier.eissn1872-6178
dc.identifier.endpage13en
dc.identifier.issn0378-7788
dc.identifier.journaltitleEnergy and Buildingsen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9004
dc.identifier.volume205en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/SFI/SFI Research Centres/12/RC/2302/IE/Marine Renewable Energy Ireland (MaREI) - The SFI Centre for Marine Renewable Energy Research/en
dc.relation.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378778819300404
dc.rights© 2019, Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectEnergy efficiencyen
dc.subjectExergyen
dc.subjectFuel switchingen
dc.subjectRetrofiten
dc.subjectNeeap savingsen
dc.subjectLMDI-Ien
dc.subjectTop-downen
dc.subjectBottom-upen
dc.titleRecession or retrofit: An ex-post evaluation of Irish residential space heating trendsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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