Climate change impacts on wind energy resources in North America based on the CMIP6 projections

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dc.contributor.authorMartinez Diaz, Abel
dc.contributor.authorIglesias, Gregorio
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-14T13:28:12Z
dc.date.available2022-04-14T13:28:12Z
dc.date.issued2022-02
dc.date.updated2022-04-14T13:02:46Z
dc.description.abstractThe mid-and long-term evolution of wind energy resources in North America is investigated by means of a multi model ensemble selected from 18 global climate models. The most recent scenarios of greenhouse gases emissions and land use, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), are considered - more specifically, the SSP58.5 (intensive emissions) and SSP2-4.5 (moderate emissions). In both scenarios, onshore wind power density in the US and Canada is predicted to drop. Under SSP5-8.5, the reduction is of the order of 15% overall, reaching as much as 40% in certain northern regions - Quebec and Nunavut in Canada and Alaska in the US. Conversely, significant increases in wind power density are predicted in Hudson Bay (up to 25%), Texas and northern Mexico (up to 15%), southern Mexico and Central America (up to 30%). As for the intra-annual variability, it is poised to rise drastically, with monthly average wind power densities increasing up to 120% in certain months and decreasing up to 60% in others. These changes in both the mean value and the intra-annual variability of wind power density are of consequence for the Levelised Cost of Energy from wind, the planning of future investments and, more generally, the contribution of wind to the energy mix.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.articleid150580en
dc.identifier.citationMartinez Diaz, A. and Iglesias, G. (2022) 'Climate change impacts on wind energy resources in North America based on the CMIP6 projections', Science of The Total Environment, 806, 150580 (14pp). doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150580en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150580en
dc.identifier.endpage14en
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.journaltitleScience of The Total Environmenten
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/13091
dc.identifier.volume806en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/SFI/SFI Research Centres/12/RC/2302/IE/Marine Renewable Energy Ireland (MaREI) - The SFI Centre for Marine Renewable Energy Research/en
dc.rights© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectMultimodel ensembleen
dc.subjectWave farmen
dc.subjectModelsen
dc.subjectEuropeen
dc.subjectWind energyen
dc.subjectOffshore winden
dc.subjectWind poweren
dc.subjectMarine renewable energyen
dc.subjectShared socioeconomic pathwaysen
dc.subjectMulti-model ensembleen
dc.titleClimate change impacts on wind energy resources in North America based on the CMIP6 projectionsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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