Capturing the distributional impacts of long-term low-carbon transitions

dc.contributor.authorFell, Michael J.
dc.contributor.authorPye, Steve
dc.contributor.authorHamilton, Ian
dc.contributor.funderEnergy Technologies Instituteen
dc.contributor.funderResearch Councils UKen
dc.contributor.funderUK Research and Innovationen
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-20T06:10:52Z
dc.date.available2019-11-20T06:10:52Z
dc.date.issued2019-01-31
dc.description.abstractMajor policy proposals often require a distributional impact assessment, focusing on differential financial and other impacts across population segments. Such assessments are rare, however, at the multi-decadal scale addressed in long-term (e.g. to 2050) low carbon transition modelling. There is therefore a risk of socially inequitable outcomes, which in turn presents a socio-political risk for decision-makers driving transitions. This paper uses a literature review and expert interviews to identify mechanisms by which low carbon transitions could differentially impact population sub-groups. As well as impacts of policy costs on bills, this includes factors such as ability to connect to heat networks or install onsite generation or storage. An approach to exploring distributional impacts across a range of long term scenarios from a United Kingdom energy model (ESME), is proposed. This sets out how bill changes and other costs associated with low carbon transition could impact different income quintiles in the UK.en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionPublished Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationFell, M.J., Pye, S. and Hamilton, I., 2019. Capturing the distributional impacts of long-term low-carbon transitions. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. (11pp). DOI:10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.007en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.007en
dc.identifier.eissn2210-4232
dc.identifier.endpage11en
dc.identifier.issn2210-4224
dc.identifier.journaltitleEnvironmental Innovation and Societal Transitionsen
dc.identifier.startpage1en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/9165
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/RCUK/EPSRC/EP/K011839/1/GB/RCUK CENTRE for ENERGY EPIDEMIOLOGY (CEE): the study of energy demand in a population./en
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/RCUK/EPSRC/EP/R035288/1/GB/UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand/en
dc.relation.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210422418301357
dc.rights© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectLow-carbon transitionsen
dc.subjectEnergy systems modellingen
dc.subjectDistributional impactsen
dc.subjectStakeholder engagementen
dc.titleCapturing the distributional impacts of long-term low-carbon transitionsen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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