Modelling of a power-to-gas system to predict the levelised cost of energy of an advanced renewable gaseous transport fuel

dc.contributor.authorMcDonagh, Shane
dc.contributor.authorO'Shea, Richard
dc.contributor.authorWall, David M.
dc.contributor.authorDeane, John Paul
dc.contributor.authorMurphy, Jerry D.
dc.contributor.funderScience Foundation Irelanden
dc.contributor.funderGas Networks Irelanden
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-07T15:06:59Z
dc.date.available2019-03-07T15:06:59Z
dc.date.issued2018-02-20
dc.date.updated2019-03-07T14:56:56Z
dc.description.abstractPower to gas (P2G) has been mooted as a means of producing advanced renewable gaseous transport fuel, whilst providing ancillary services to the electricity grid through decentralised small scale (10 MW) energy storage. This study uses a discounted cash flow model to determine the levelised cost of energy (LCOE) of the gaseous fuel from non-biological origin in the form of renewable methane for various cost scenarios in 2020, 2030, and 2040. The composition and sensitivity of these costs are investigated as well as the effects of incentives and supplementary incomes. The LCOE was found to be €107-143/MWh (base value €124) in 2020, €89-121/MWh (base value €105) in 2030, and €81-103/MWh (base value €93) in 2040. The costs were found to be dominated by electricity charges in all scenarios (56%), with the total capital expenditure the next largest contributor (33%). Electricity costs and capacity factor were the most sensitive parameters followed by total capital expenditure, project discount rate, and fixed operation and maintenance. For the 2020 base scenario should electricity be available at zero cost the LCOE would fall from €124/MWh to €55/MWh. Valorisation of the produced oxygen (€0.1/Nm3 profit) would generate an LCOE of €105/MWh. A payment for ancillary services to the electricity grid of €15/MWe for 8500 h p.a would lower the LCOE to €87/MWh. Price parity with diesel, exclusive of sales tax, is achieved with an incentive of €19/MWh.en
dc.description.sponsorshipGas Networks Ireland ((GNI) through the Gas Innovation Group and by ERVIA)en
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.description.versionAccepted Versionen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationMcDonagh, S., O'Shea, R., Wall, D. M., Deane, J. P. and Murphy, J. D. (2018) 'Modelling of a power-to-gas system to predict the levelised cost of energy of an advanced renewable gaseous transport fuel', Applied Energy, 215, pp. 444-456. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.019en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.019
dc.identifier.endpage456en
dc.identifier.issn0306-2619
dc.identifier.journaltitleApplied Energyen
dc.identifier.startpage444en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10468/7574
dc.identifier.volume215en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevieren
dc.relation.projectinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/SFI/SFI Research Centres/12/RC/2302/IE/Marine Renewable Energy Ireland (MaREI) - The SFI Centre for Marine Renewable Energy Research/en
dc.relation.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918301387
dc.rights© 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 licenseen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectPower-to-gasen
dc.subjectSensitivity analysisen
dc.subjectLCOEen
dc.subjectEnergy storageen
dc.subjectHydrogenen
dc.subjectMethaneen
dc.titleModelling of a power-to-gas system to predict the levelised cost of energy of an advanced renewable gaseous transport fuelen
dc.typeArticle (peer-reviewed)en
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